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Google co-scientist can crunch early hypothesis generation timelines

By Brian Buntz
From Research & Development World

Google co-scientist can crunch early hypothesis generation timelines

Google AI has unveiled an AI co-scientist, a Gemini 2.0-based system that significantly shortens the early research cycle -- in some cases reducing hypothesis generation time from weeks to days -- and delivering proposals rated higher in novelty by domain experts evaluating 15 complex biomedical goals, according to a Google-coauthored paper, "Towards an AI co-scientist" (Gottweis et al., 2025). This multi-agent tool autonomously crafts novel hypotheses, experimental protocols and research overviews. The system can condense literature review and brainstorming efforts through a self-improving "generate, debate, and evolve" framework. Validated through real-world trials -- such as predicting novel drug repurposing candidates for acute myeloid leukemia and uncovering epigenetic targets for liver fibrosis (both confirmed in wet-lab experiments) -- it outperforms other state-of-the-art AI baselines in performance, as indicated by expert ratings and Elo scores.

Among the most compelling evidence for the AI co-scientist's ability to accelerate discovery lies in its use in parallel in silico discovery of a novel gene transfer mechanism in bacterial evolution. The paper highlights this time-saving capability, stating the AI co-scientist "recapitulated unpublished experimental results via a parallel in silico discovery of a novel gene transfer mechanism in bacterial evolution" in just "2 days." By comparison, the traditional method to accomplish the same -- crafting a novel hypothesis an validating it experimentally, took over "10 years of iterative research." See the figure below:

Beyond AML and liver fibrosis, the AI co-scientist also recapitulated an unpublished discovery about how capsid-forming phage-inducible chromosomal islands spread across multiple bacterial species -- a key mechanism underlying antimicrobial resistance. According to the Gottweis et al. paper, this feat took the system just a couple of days, whereas the same insight emerged over years of conventional lab work. In all cases, the platform operates as a collaborative tool rather than a replacement for researchers, with domain experts guiding and validating its outputs. Additionally, the current version relies on open-access literature and may miss nonpublic or negative experimental data, pointing to avenues for future enhancements. Even so, the three successful validations -- in drug repurposing, target discovery, and bacterial evolution -- demonstrate how this framework could generalize across diverse biomedical domains.

As alluded to earlier, the AI co-scientist paper used an Elo-based tournament system to gauge the system's continuous self-evaluation. The co-scientist demonstrated a marked improvement in Elo ratings -- a metric correlating with hypothesis quality -- as test-time compute scales. This Elo-driven framework facilitates a "generate, debate, evolve" cycle, iteratively refining outputs and outperforming both expert-derived benchmarks and state-of-the-art AI baselines. The system isn't intended to be an island, divorced from human output. Rather it is designed for expert-in-the-loop collaboration. The paper notes that while these findings underscore the AI co-scientist's potential to uncover novel hypotheses, expert oversight and further wet-lab confirmations remain essential. That is, it allows scientists to guide and refine its outputs, ensuring alignment with scientific priorities. Beyond biomedicine, the AI co-scientist's architecture is broadly applicable across diverse scientific domains.

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